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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Crewe Alexandra

AFC Wimbledon
2 - 2
Crewe

Neufville (30'), Tilley (38')
Ogundere (52'), Currie (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Tabiner (51'), Nevitt (90+10')
Rowe (90+13'), White (90+7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Crewe Alexandra.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 1-4 Crewe
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
39.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)26.8% (-0.012 -0.01)33.9% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Both teams to score 51.3% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)53.77% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (0.061 0.06)75.25% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)29.97% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.099000000000004 0.1)66.09% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 39.3%
    Crewe Alexandra 33.9%
    Draw 26.8%
AFC WimbledonDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.3%
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.82% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.9%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
0-0
AFC Wimbledon
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Crewe
Assal (45+1')
Adebisi (62')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Crewe
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Mandron (60'), Long (62'), Sambou (90+8')
Cosgrove (19')
> Preview
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
AFC Wimbledon
3-2
Crewe
Rudoni (24'), Palmer (35', 44' pen.)
Heneghan (81'), Assal (90+2')
Assal (90+4')
Long (11'), Porter (89')
Murphy (44'), Sass-Davies (79'), Williams (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crewe
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Finney (31')
Pigott (2')
McLoughlin (78')