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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
| 29.88% ( | 26.05% ( | 44.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.08% ( | 51.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.33% ( | 73.67% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( | 31.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.79% ( | 68.21% ( |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 3-0 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.07% |