Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.