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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 61.36% ( | 20.56% ( | 18.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( | 39.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( | 62.17% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.48% ( | 12.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.48% ( | 38.52% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( | 35.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 3.7% Total : 61.36% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.08% |