League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 1
Swindon

McGoldrick (10', 10'), Langstaff (35' pen., 35' pen.), Crowley (37', 37')
Bostock (12'), Bostock (12'), O'Brien (83'), Jones (90+1')

FT(HT: 6-0)

Shade (49', 49')
Shade (56'), Shade (56'), Hepburn-Murphy (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 5-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Swindon Town
47.77% ( -0.27)	21.67% ( -0.04)	30.56% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 68.07% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.66% (

0.39)

31.34% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.21% (

0.46)

52.79% (

-0.46)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

0.06)

13.77% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.92% (

0.11)

41.08% (

-0.11)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

0.37)

21.06% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

0.57)

53.86% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Notts County 47.77%

Swindon Town 30.56%

Draw 21.67%

Notts County	Draw	Swindon Town
2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.87% Total : 47.77%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.67%	1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 30.56%