League Two Gameweek 11
Notts County
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 6 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Swindon
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • David McGoldrick 10' goal
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 12' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 35' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Dan Crowley 37' goal
  • Jim O'Brien 83' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • goal Tyrese Shade 49'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Tyrese Shade 56'
  • yellowcard Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 72'

Notts County vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Colchester 5 - 4 Notts County
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Jake Young

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.87%) and 1-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 47.77% ▼ (-0.27)
Draw 21.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Swindon Town 30.56% ▲ (+0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.07% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.66% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 31.34% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 3.5 47.21% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 52.79% ▼ (-0.47)
Over 4.5 28.22% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 4.5 71.78% ▼ (-0.41)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 86.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 13.77% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 58.92% ▲ (+0.12)
Under 1.5 41.08% ▼ (-0.12)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 78.94% ▲ (+0.37)
Under 0.5 21.06% ▼ (-0.37)
Over 1.5 46.14% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 1.5 53.86% ▼ (-0.57)

Score analysis

Notts County 47.77%
Draw 21.67%
Swindon Town 30.56%
Notts County
2-1 @ 8.88% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 4.57% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
4-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 47.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.67%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 30.56%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 46
Swindon
May 4, 2019 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check County Ground (Swindon, Wiltshire)
Notts County
  • Michael Doughty 38' yellowcard
  • Kaiyne Woolery 69' goal
  • Theo Robinson 74' goal
  • Theo Robinson 92' goal
  • goal Kane Hemmings 52'
League Two Gameweek 16
Notts County
Oct 27, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
Swindon
  • Kane Hemmings 40' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 43' yellowcard
  • Robert Milsom 55' yellowcard
  • Jon Stead 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jak McCourt 15'
  • yellowcard Sid Nelson 43'
  • goal Steven Alzate 65'
  • goal Jamie Turley 80' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kyle Knoyle 90'
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 90'
League Two
Swindon
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Notts County
  • Luke Norris 47' goal
  • James Dunne 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Brisley 17'
  • yellowcard Jorge Grant 90'
League Two
Notts County
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Swindon
  • Jon Stead 32' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 33'
League One
Swindon
Mar 7, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Notts County
  • Nathan Byrne 8' yellowcard
  • Jordan Turnbull 28' yellowcard
  • John Swift 58' goal
  • Andy Williams 64' goal
  • Harry Toffolo 89' goal
  • Jermaine Hylton 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paddy McCourt 28'
  • yellowcard Blair Adams 64'
  • yellowcard Roy Carroll 69'
  • yellowcard Liam Noble 84'
  • redcard Liam Noble 85'
League One
Notts County
Dec 13, 2014 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Swindon
  • Liam Noble 31' yellowcard
  • Roy Carroll 45' yellowcard
  • Liam Noble 56' redcard
  • Haydn Hollis 86' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Williams 6'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 41'
  • yellowcard Yaser Kasim 45'
  • goal Andy Williams 54'
  • goal Massimo Luongo 59'

Form Data

Colchester 5 - 4 Notts County
Notts County 4 - 3 Forest Green
Salford City 0 - 2 Notts County
Notts County 1 - 2 Wolves U21s
MK Dons 1 - 1 Notts County
Notts County 3 - 1 Accrington
Swindon 2 - 1 Grimsby Town
Morecambe 2 - 2 Swindon
Swindon 2 - 0 Walsall
Swindon 5 - 3 Sutton
Doncaster 0 - 0 Swindon
Swindon 6 - 0 Crawley