/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmorlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
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Jake Taylor
31'
-
James Connolly
33'
-
Yann Songo'o
54'
-
Yann Songo'o
55'
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Ethan Walker
80'
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Dan Kemp
12'
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Charlie Austin
57'
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Saidou Khan
78'
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Dan Kemp
90'+5'
Morecambe vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result
Morecambe
25.43%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
24.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Swindon Town
50.46%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
55.11%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.41%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
46.58%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
31.14%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
68.86%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
15.47%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
84.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5
67.61%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
32.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
31.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
68.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
81.5%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
18.49%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
50.29%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
49.71%
▲
(+0.06)
Score analysis
Morecambe
25.43%
Draw
24.09%
Swindon Town
50.45%
Morecambe
1-0
@
6.75%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.43%
2-1 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04%
3-0 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 25.43%
Draw
1-1
@
11.39%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.09%
Swindon Town
0-1
@
10.1%
1-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.45%
1-2 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.53% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.45%