League Two

League Two | Gameweek 9

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Mazuma Stadium

Morecambe
2 - 2
Swindon

Taylor (31'), Walker (80')
Connolly (33'), Songo'o (54')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kemp (12'), Austin (57' pen.)
Khan (78'), Kemp (90+5')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Morecambe and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Morecambe	Draw	Swindon Town
25.43% ( 0.01)	24.1% ( 0.02)	50.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.41% (

-0.09)

46.58% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.14% (

-0.09)

68.86% (

0.09)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-0.05)

32.38% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-0.05)

68.9% (

0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.5% (

-0.05)

18.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.29% (

-0.08)

49.71% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Morecambe 25.43%

Swindon Town 50.45%

Draw 24.09%

Morecambe	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 25.43%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.09%	0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.8% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.45%