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Championship header 2

League Two

Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Morecambe

Gillingham
2 - 1
Morecambe

Lapslie (9'), Mahoney (23')
Williams (36'), Williams (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mellon (11')
Mellon (39'), Connolly (52'), Love (75'), Tutonda (90+3')
Mellon (76')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawMorecambe
45.77% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)28.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)26.2% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)60.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.02% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)80.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)26.66% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)61.9% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)39.58% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73% (0.012 0.01)76.27% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 45.77%
    Morecambe 26.2%
    Draw 28.01%
GillinghamDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 45.77%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.55%
2-2 @ 3.96%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 26.2%

Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Morecambe
1-1
Gillingham
Obika (84')
Jackson (72')
Tutonda (45+1'), Kelman (90+4')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Gillingham
2-1
Morecambe
Carayol (4'), Oliver (79' pen.)
Oliver (90+1')
Stockton (25')
Cooney (46'), Lavelle (51')
Mar 16, 2013 3pm
Morecambe
1-1
Gillingham
Redshaw (42')
Roche (4')
Dack (52')
Allen (53')
Nov 17, 2012 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Morecambe
Montrose (37'), Burton (90')
Strevens (38')
Redshaw (69')
Fenton (41'), Wright (90')
May 5, 2012 3pm
Gillingham
2-0
Morecambe
Lee (18', 76')
Lee (25')

Haining (9'), Alessandra (44')