League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
2 - 0
Walsall

Austin (2'), Hepburn-Murphy (88')
Khan (36'), Hutton (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (25'), Knowles (62'), Gordon (90+4')
Knowles (66')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Walsall.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Swindon 5-3 Sutton
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Walsall

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Walsall
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.4%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Walsall
49.4% ( 0.03)	23.63% ( 0.01)	26.97% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.13% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

-0.05)

43.24% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

-0.05)

65.64% (

0.05)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.37% (

-0.01)

17.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.77% (

-0.02)

48.22% (

0.01)

Walsall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.57% (

-0.05)

29.42% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.58% (

-0.06)

65.42% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 49.4%

Walsall 26.97%

Draw 23.62%

Swindon Town	Draw	Walsall
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.4%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 26.97%