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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Grimsby Town

Swindon
2 - 1
Grimsby Town

Kemp (26'), Cain (64')
Blake-Tracy (60'), Hutton (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (69')
Clifton (62'), Rodgers (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Swindon
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
49.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)23.11%27.8% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 60.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.77% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)40.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.6% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)16.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.43% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.74%27.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)62.69% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 49.09%
    Grimsby Town 27.8%
    Draw 23.11%
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.48%
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.3%
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 3.69%
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-2 @ 1.66%
5-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 10.56%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 4.53%
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 6.87%
0-1 @ 5.89%
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 27.8%

Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
5-0
Grimsby Town
Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Yates (46'), Jaiyesimi (49'), Hendrie (57' og.)
Grant (3')
Hanson (59')
Clarke (66'), Driscoll-Glennon (70')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Grimsby Town
0-3
Swindon

Hewitt (76')
Doyle (10'), Yates (24', 52')
Feb 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
1-1
Grimsby Town
Robinson (74')
Hendrie (76')
Ohman (20'), Thomas (50'), Dennis (95')
Ohman (66')
rhs 2.0


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