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Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Grimsby Town

Wrexham
3 - 0
Grimsby Town

Palmer (21'), Boyle (31'), Lee (79')
McClean (6'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Conteh (39'), Maher (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
59.68% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)20.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)19.4% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.68% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.055 0.05)39.33% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (0.057000000000002 0.06)61.67% (-0.058 -0.06)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.79% (0.019999999999996 0.02)39.21% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.062000000000012 0.06)33.82% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.066999999999997 0.07)70.48% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 59.68%
    Grimsby Town 19.4%
    Draw 20.92%
WrexhamDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.78% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 59.68%
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 20.92%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Grimsby Town

Wrexham
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Grimsby Town
30.0%
10
Head to Head
May 28, 2022 12.30pm
Wrexham
4-5
Grimsby Town
Mullin (13' pen., 65'), Tozer (63'), Davies (80')
Tozer (45+3'), Young (98'), Palmer (105')
McAtee (15'), Waterfall (47', 119'), Taylor (72'), Dieseruvwe (78')
Amos (24'), Waterfall (28'), Taylor (36')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
3-1
Wrexham
Taylor (27'), Waterfall (34'), Wright (90')
Sousa (60'), Clifton (66')
Hyde (22')
Redmond (25'), French (49')
Mar 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-0
Wrexham
Disley (7')
Tait (46'), Hoban (89'), Clay (92')

Jennings (45')
Sep 22, 2015 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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