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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 59.68% ( | 20.92% ( | 19.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( | 39.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.33% ( | 61.67% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( | 12.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.79% ( | 39.21% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( | 33.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.52% ( | 70.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Grimsby Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 3-0 @ 6.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.66% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 19.4% |