Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.