EFL Trophy
Sep 5, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
  • Sam Dalby 13' goal
  • Jordan Tunnicliffe 20' yellowcard
  • James Jones 42' yellowcard
  • Arthur Okonkwo 49' yellowcard
  • George Evans 74' yellowcard

Wrexham vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.5%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 72.37% (-0.12)
Draw 15.36% (+0.37)
Newcastle United Under-21s 12.27% (-0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.44% (-2.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.23% (-2.66)
Under 2.5 26.77% (+2.66)
Over 3.5 52.8% (-3.45)
Under 3.5 47.2% (+3.45)
Over 4.5 33.36% (-3.36)
Under 4.5 66.64% (+3.36)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 93.52% (-0.63)
Under 0.5 6.47% (+0.63)
Over 1.5 75.8% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 24.2% (+1.75)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 65.7% (-2.34)
Under 0.5 34.3% (+2.34)
Over 1.5 29% (-2.59)
Under 1.5 71% (+2.58)

Score analysis

Wrexham 72.37%
Draw 15.36%
Newcastle United Under-21s 12.27%
Wrexham
2-1 @ 8.9% (+0.31)
2-0 @ 8.32% (+0.79)
3-1 @ 8.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.59% (+0.47)
1-0 @ 6.08% (+0.78)
4-1 @ 5.56% (-0.22)
4-0 @ 5.2% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.30)
5-1 @ 3.04% (-0.24)
4-2 @ 2.97% (-0.32)
5-0 @ 2.84% (-0.03)
5-2 @ 1.63% (-0.25)
6-1 @ 1.39% (-0.17)
6-0 @ 1.3% (-0.07)
4-3 @ 1.06% (-0.19)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.5% (+0.45)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 2.22% (+0.36)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.22)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 15.36%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 3.48% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 2.38% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 12.27%