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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 30.43% ( | 26.14% ( | 43.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% ( | 52.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.2% ( | 73.81% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( | 31.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( | 67.84% ( |
| Cambridge United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( | 23.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.99% ( | 58.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 2-1 @ 7.19% 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 1.99% 3-0 @ 1.93% Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.43% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 10.75% 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.42% |