League One Gameweek 12
Burton Albion
Oct 9, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Josh Walker 10' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 31' goal
  • Kwadwo Baah 53' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 90' yellowcard
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 67'

Burton Albion vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Burton Albion 2 - 1 Wigan
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Cambridge 0 - 4 Barnsley
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gassan Ahadme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 42.41% ▲ (+0.70)
Draw 26.83% ▲ (+0.25)
Cambridge United 30.76% ▼ (-0.96)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% ▼ (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.32% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 2.5 54.68% ▲ (+1.30)
Over 3.5 23.99% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 3.5 76.01% ▲ (+1.09)
Over 4.5 10.73% ▼ (-0.69)
Under 4.5 89.27% ▲ (+0.68)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 74.5% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 0.5 25.5% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 39.65% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 60.35% ▲ (+0.31)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 67.43% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 0.5 32.57% ▲ (+1.34)
Over 1.5 30.9% ▼ (-1.53)
Under 1.5 69.1% ▲ (+1.53)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 42.4%
Draw 26.83%
Cambridge United 30.76%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.50)
2-1 @ 8.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 8.31% ▲ (+0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.18)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.83%
Cambridge United
0-1 @ 9.32% ▲ (+0.13)
1-2 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.21)
0-2 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 38
Burton Albion
May 3, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Mark Helm 28' goal
League One Gameweek 6
Cambridge
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Abbey Stadium
Burton Albion
  • Sam Smith 34' goal
  • Paul Digby 38' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 53' goal
  • Sam Smith 69' goal
  • Liam O'Neil 79' goal
  • Jack Lankester 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 1'
  • redcard Jonny Smith 10'
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 19'
  • yellowcard Gassan Ahadme 27'
  • goal John Brayford 41'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 51'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 67'
  • yellowcard Cameron Borthwick-Jackson 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 33
Burton Albion
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Cambridge
  • G. Yahyai 2' goal
  • Ciaran Gilligan 24' yellowcard
  • Williams Kokolo 62' goal
  • goal Harvey Knibbs 25'
  • goal Sam Smith 72'
  • yellowcard Sam Sherring 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 4
Cambridge
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Burton Albion
  • Lloyd Jones 34' yellowcard
  • Sam Smith 53' goal
  • Tom Hamer 73' goal
  • Tom Hamer 79' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Mancienne 18'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 71'
EFL Trophy
Burton Albion
Oct 6, 2020 7.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
Cambridge
  • Lucas Akins 3' goal
  • Joe Powell 4' goal
  • Owen Gallagher 20' yellowcard
  • Colin Daniel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Knibbs 27'
  • goal Luke Hannant 31'
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 73'
  • goal Harry Darling 79'
  • goal Luke Hannant 86'
  • yellowcard Harvey Knibbs 90'
League Two
Cambridge
May 2, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Burton Albion
  • Tom Elliott 25' goal
  • Robbie Simpson 69' goal
  • goal Stuart Beavon 11'
  • yellowcard George Taft 55'
  • redcard Jon McLaughlan 67'
  • yellowcard John Mousinho 69'
  • goal Phil Edwards 77'
  • yellowcard Damien McCrory 86'
  • goal Kevin Stewart 88'

Form Data

Burton Albion 2 - 1 Wigan
Reading 0 - 0 Burton Albion
Burton Albion 2 - 0 Everton U21s
Burton Albion 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Port Vale 2 - 3 Burton Albion
Barnsley 2 - 0 Burton Albion
Cambridge 0 - 4 Barnsley
Derby 0 - 0 Cambridge
Cambridge 1 - 1 Port Vale
Wigan 2 - 1 Cambridge
Peterborough 2 - 0 Cambridge
Cambridge 1 - 0 Reading