EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
0 - 2
Newport

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wood (26'), Evans (53')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Cheltenham Town and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Newport County
20.7% ( 2.74)	22.97% ( 1.19)	56.33% ( -3.93)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.3% (

-1.22)

46.7% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03% (

-1.15)

68.97% (

1.16)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

2.25)

36.74% (

-2.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.47% (

2.19)

73.53% (

-2.18)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

-1.72)

16.38% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.99% (

-3.21)

46.01% (

3.21)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 20.7%

Newport County 56.32%

Draw 22.97%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.21) Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.7%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.57) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.97%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.41) 0-3 @ 5.94% ( -0.8) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.36) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.55) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.32%