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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 40.46% ( | 26.77% ( | 32.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.12% ( | 53.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.66% ( | 75.34% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% ( | 61.24% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% ( | 30.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.96% ( | 67.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 1-2 @ 7.5% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.76% |