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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%).
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 46.26% | 24.83% | 28.91% |
| Both teams to score 55.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% | 47.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.49% | 69.51% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% | 20.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% | 52.98% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% | 30.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.77% | 66.23% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 4.92% 3-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 4.45% 1-3 @ 2.82% 2-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.17% Total : 28.91% |