League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
2 - 1
Colchester

Evans (43', 43', 43'), Bogle (63', 63')
Wildig (36'), Wildig (36'), Wildig (36'), McLoughlin (41'), McLoughlin (41'), McLoughlin (41')

FT(HT: 3-3)

Tovide (34', 34', 34')
Mingi (18'), Mingi (18'), Mingi (18'), Mingi (18'), Garner (19'), Garner (19'), Chilvers (90+2'), Chilvers (90+2')
Read (89'), Read (89')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Colchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Salford City 2-1 Newport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Colchester United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 5-4 Notts County
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
36.72% ( -0.72)	26.64% ( 0.16)	36.64% ( 0.56)

Both teams to score 52.11% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13% (

-0.64)

52.87% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52% (

-0.55)

74.48% (

0.55)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21% (

-0.73)

27.79% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62% (

-0.94)

63.38% (

0.94)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.16% (

0.03)

27.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.57% (

0.03)

63.43% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Newport County 36.72%

Colchester United 36.64%

Draw 26.63%

Newport County	Draw	Colchester United
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.72%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 36.64%