Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm

2

1

HT : 3 3

FT Rodney Parade

Aaron Wildig 36'
Aaron Wildig 36'
Aaron Wildig 36'
Shane McLoughlin 41'
Shane McLoughlin 41'
Shane McLoughlin 41'
Will Evans 43'
Will Evans 43'
Will Evans 43'
Omar Bogle 63'
Omar Bogle 63'

Jay Mingi 18'
Jay Mingi 18'
Jay Mingi 18'
Jay Mingi 18'
Ben Garner 19'
Ben Garner 19'
Samson Tovide 34'
Samson Tovide 34'
Samson Tovide 34'
Arthur Read 89'
Arthur Read 89'
Noah Chilvers 90'+2'
Noah Chilvers 90'+2'

Newport County vs Colchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

L
L
D
L
D
D

League Two

L
L
D
L
D
W

Last game

Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm

Salford City 2 - 1 Newport

Goals scored

62

Top scorer

Will Evans

Colchester United

All competitions

W
L
L
D
W
L

League Two

W
L
D
W
L
W

Last game

Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm

Colchester 5 - 4 Notts County

Goals scored

59

Top scorer

Joe Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result

Newport County 36.72% ▼ (-0.73)

Draw 26.64% ▲ (+0.16)

Colchester United 36.64% ▲ (+0.57)

Both Teams to Score:

52.11% ▼ (-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.13% ▼ (-0.65)

Under 2.5 52.87% ▲ (+0.65)

Over 3.5 25.52% ▼ (-0.56)

Under 3.5 74.48% ▲ (+0.55)

Over 4.5 11.69% ▼ (-0.36)

Under 4.5 88.31% ▲ (+0.36)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.73)

Under 0.5 27.79% ▲ (+0.73)

Over 1.5 36.62% ▼ (-0.94)

Under 1.5 63.38% ▲ (+0.94)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 72.16% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 0.5 27.83% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 1.5 36.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 63.43% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Newport County 36.72%

Draw 26.63%

Colchester United 36.64%

Newport County

1-0 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.05)

2-1 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.13)

2-0 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.10)

3-1 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.13)

3-0 @ 2.71% ▼ (-0.10)

3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.08)

4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.07)

Other @ 2.87%

Total : 36.72%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.08)

0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.20)

2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.08)

Other @ 1.05%

Total : 26.63%

Colchester United

0-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.26)

1-2 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.06)

0-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.17)

1-3 @ 3.45% ▲ (+0.03)

0-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.08)

2-3 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.03)

1-4 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.01)

Other @ 2.86%

Total : 36.64%

Head to Head

Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT JobServe Community Stadium

Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Rodney Parade

Kieran O'Hara 28'
Aaron Lewis 76'

Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 1 0

FT Rodney Parade

Will Evans 7'

Apr 22, 2022 7.45pm

1

2

HT : 1 0

FT

Matt Dolan 38'
Dom Telford 40'
Aaron Lewis 45'+2'
Scot Bennett 72'

Brendan Wiredu 45'+2'
Emyr Huws 66'
John Akinde 68'
Noah Chilvers 77'
Cole Skuse 89'
Shamal George 90'

Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Noah Chilvers 25'
Freddie Sears 78'

James Clarke 29'
Dom Telford 36'
Oliver Cooper 74'

Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm

0

2

HT : 0 1

FT JobServe Community Stadium

Callum Harriott 25'
Frank Nouble 74'
Frank Nouble 76'
Ryan Clampin 78'

Joss Labadie 30'
Joss Labadie 51'
Padraig Amond 78'

Form Data

Salford City 2 - 1 Newport

Newport 1 - 4 Bradford

Newport 1 - 1 Barrow

Crawley 4 - 1 Newport

Newport 2 - 2 AFC Wimbledon

Newport 1 - 1 Brentford

Colchester 5 - 4 Notts County

Crewe 2 - 1 Colchester

Colchester 0 - 5 Spurs U21s

Colchester 1 - 1 Mansfield

Colchester 2 - 0 Tranmere

Walsall 1 - 0 Colchester