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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 44.76% ( | 25.56% ( | 29.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( | 50.01% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( | 71.99% ( |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( | 22.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( | 55.77% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.07% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.77% ( | 67.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-0 @ 3.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 4.75% ( 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.68% |