Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.