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Championship header 2

League One
Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Carlisle United

Cambridge
1 - 0
Carlisle

Thomas (73')
Lankester (30'), Bennett (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Armer (47')
Armer (83'), McCalmont (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Carlisle United

 A draw could be on the cards in Cambridge, as the hosts have not pulled up trees in recent home games, while Carlisle have claimed one victory in their last five away fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
36.53% (-0.108 -0.11) 27.13% (0.0030000000000001 0) 36.34% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 50.51% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)54.88% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.82% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)76.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)28.87% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)64.74% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.062000000000012 0.06)28.99% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.11% (0.073999999999998 0.07)64.88% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 36.52%
    Carlisle United 36.34%
    Draw 27.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.52%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.29% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Carlisle

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 38
Carlisle
1-2
Cambridge
Alessandra (78')
Hayden (24'), Furman (28'), Zanzala (68')
Mullin (45+2'), May (90')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cambridge
3-0
Carlisle
Hannant (9'), Mullin (16'), Ironside (86')
Digby (45+3')

Patrick (45+3'), Guy (76'), Toure (88'), Mellish (89')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cambridge
1-2
Carlisle
Lambe (82')
Roles (78')
Alessandra (27'), Anderton (73')
Hayden (59'), Webster (64'), McKirdy (80'), Charters (89'), Olomola (90')
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Carlisle
0-0
Cambridge
Loft (29'), Carroll (70')
Hannant (26'), Lewis (39'), Smith (83')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Carlisle
2-2
Cambridge
Devitt (37'), Thomas (45')
Jones (50'), Grainger (81')
Hepburn-Murphy (3'), Ibehre (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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