League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Carlisle

Shaughnessy (90+3')
Rafferty (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

McCalmont (48'), Guy (70'), Garner (73')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 5-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Carlisle United
58.73% ( 0.05)	22.2% ( 0)	19.07% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.4% (

-0.09)

45.6% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

-0.08)

67.93% (

0.08)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.81% (

-0.01)

15.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.18% (

-0.02)

43.82% (

0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.18% (

-0.11)

37.82% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.41% (

-0.11)

74.6% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 58.73%

Carlisle United 19.07%

Draw 22.19%

Portsmouth	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.73%	1-1 @ 10.52% 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.07%