League One

League One | Gameweek 12

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Port Vale

Bishop (53', 58' pen.)
Lane (52')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arblaster (45+2'), Balmer (57'), Lowe (68')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Wycombe
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Port Vale
60.64% ( 0.07)	21.47% ( -0.03)	17.89% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.74% (

0.06)

44.25% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.37% (

0.06)

66.63% (

-0.06)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.86% (

0.04)

14.13% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.21% (

0.09)

41.79% (

-0.09)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.64% (

-0.02)

38.36% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.89% (

-0.01)

75.11% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 60.63%

Port Vale 17.89%

Draw 21.46%

Portsmouth	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 60.63%	1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.46%	0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 17.89%