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FA Cup

Cambridge United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
2 - 1
Bracknell Town

Okenabirhie (27'), Osu (48' og.)
May (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harris (88')
Legg (5'), Harrison (15'), Harris (68'), George (90+8')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Cambridge United and Bracknell Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Bracknell Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bracknell Town 0-3 Ipswich
Monday, November 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Bracknell Town had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Bracknell Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBracknell Town
57.4% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)21.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)21.09% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 58.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)39.62% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.02% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)61.97% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.38% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)13.62% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)40.76% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Bracknell Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.66% (0.0040000000000049 0)32.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)68.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 57.4%
    Bracknell Town 21.09%
    Draw 21.5%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBracknell Town
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 57.4%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 4.4% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 4.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 21.09%