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Championship header 2

League One

Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Burton Albion

Northampton
2 - 0
Burton Albion

Leonard (54'), Hoskins (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Powell (25'), Lubala (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
42.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.43% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 48.22% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.82% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)57.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)78.04% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)62.1% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.11% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)70.8% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 42.09%
    Burton Albion 30.43%
    Draw 27.46%
Northampton TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.09%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 9.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 30.43%

Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Northampton
0-2
Burton Albion

Kioso (64'), Hoskins (82')
Bostwick (77'), Edwards (90+4')
Clare (82')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Burton Albion
1-3
Northampton
Akins (90+2' pen.)
Vassilev (21'), Quinn (88')
Smith (2', 67'), Lines (81')
Chukwuemeka (53')
Jan 5, 2020 2.01pm
Third Round
Burton Albion
2-4
Northampton
Edwards (45'), Fraser (91')
Adams (10'), Watson (23'), Goode (45'), Hoskins (70')
Lines (44'), Wharton (58'), Turnbull (62')
> Match Report
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Northampton
Akins (4', 41' pen.), Edwards (31')
D'Ath (53')
Taylor (78'), Cresswell (87')
Oct 11, 2014 2pm
Northampton
1-2
Burton Albion
Cresswell (80')
D'Ath (66'), Stevens (91')
Blyth (44'), MacDonald (85')
Akins (80')
> Match Report