FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 0
Burton Albion

Sweeney (2'), Oshilaja (43'), Powell (45'), Walker (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Burton Albion
51.54%	25.14%	23.32%

Both teams to score 49.67%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31%

52.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67%

74.33%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55%

20.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1%

52.9%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.43%

37.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.65%

74.35%

Score Analysis

Port Vale 51.54%

Burton Albion 23.32%

Draw 25.13%

Port Vale	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 12.19% 2-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.61% Total : 51.54%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.52% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.65% Total : 23.32%