League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
0 - 1
Peterborough

Garrity (32')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mason-Clark (14')
Collins (24'), Poku (55'), Kioso (73'), Kyprianou (79'), Crichlow (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Port Vale and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Peterborough United
34.93% ( 0.48)	24.81% ( -0.01)	40.25% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 58.18% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99% (

0.15)

45.01% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64% (

0.14)

67.36% (

-0.14)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

0.35)

25.11% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

0.48)

59.81% (

-0.48)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.7% (

-0.16)

22.3% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.23% (

-0.24)

55.77% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 34.94%

Peterborough United 40.25%

Draw 24.81%

Port Vale	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 34.94%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81%	1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.25%