League One Gameweek 15
Port Vale
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
Peterborough
  • Ben Garrity 32' yellowcard
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 14'
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 24'
  • yellowcard Kwame Poku 55'
  • yellowcard Peter Kioso 73'
  • yellowcard Hector Kyprianou 79'
  • yellowcard Romoney Crichlow 90'+8'

Port Vale vs Peterborough United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 2 Wycombe
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ephron Mason-Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 34.93% ▲ (+0.48)
Draw 24.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Peterborough United 40.25% ▼ (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.99% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 45.01% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 32.64% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 67.36% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 4.5 16.54% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 4.5 83.46% ▼ (-0.11)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 74.89% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 0.5 25.11% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 1.5 40.19% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 1.5 59.81% ▼ (-0.48)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 77.7% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 22.3% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 44.23% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 1.5 55.77% ▲ (+0.25)

Score analysis

Port Vale 34.94%
Draw 24.81%
Peterborough United 40.25%
Port Vale
2-1 @ 8.02% ▲ (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.35% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 34.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
Peterborough United
1-2 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 8.4% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 6.31% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 40.25%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 27
Port Vale
Jan 16, 2023 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Peterborough
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 56'
  • goal Ephron Mason-Clark 64'
League One Gameweek 11
Peterborough
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
Port Vale
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 26' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 36' goal
  • Joe Ward 73' goal
League One
Port Vale
Feb 4, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Peterborough
  • Nathan Smith 11' yellowcard
  • Danny Pugh 73' yellowcard
  • goal Marcus Maddison 20'
  • yellowcard Leo Da Silva Lopes 57'
  • yellowcard Gwion Edwards 58'
  • yellowcard Tom Nichols 75'
  • goal Junior Morias 90'
  • goal Junior Morias 95'
League One
Peterborough
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Port Vale
  • George Moncur 8' goal
  • Leonardo da Silva Lopes 57' yellowcard
  • Michael Bostwick 73' yellowcard
  • George Moncur 84' goal
  • Andrew Hughes 94' redcard
  • Paul Taylor 95' yellowcard
  • goal Alex Jones 6'
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 14'
  • yellowcard Martin Paterson 45'
  • yellowcard Alex Jones 58'
  • goal Alex Jones 94'
League One
Peterborough
Mar 12, 2016 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
Port Vale
  • Jon Taylor 2' goal
  • Aaron Williams 41' goal
  • Jack Baldwin 45' yellowcard
  • Michael Bostwick 72' yellowcard
  • goal Byron Moore 49'
  • yellowcard Anthony Grant 55'
  • yellowcard Michael O'Connor 70'
  • goal JJ Hooper 86'
  • goal Louis Dodds 89'
League One
Port Vale
Oct 17, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Peterborough
  • Ebo Andoh 40' goal
  • Richard Duffy 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Smith 28'
  • goal Michael Bostwick 56'

Form Data

Stevenage 0 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 1 - 1 Newcastle U21s
Portsmouth 2 - 0 Port Vale
Bristol Rovers 3 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 1 Bolton
Port Vale 2 - 1 Sutton
Peterborough 2 - 2 Wycombe
Peterborough 2 - 0 Lincoln
Carlisle 1 - 1 Peterborough
Peterborough 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Mansfield 2 - 2 Peterborough
Bolton 1 - 1 Peterborough