Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 17.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.76%).

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
62.15% ( 0.16)	20.58% ( -0.01)	17.26% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.68% (

-0.21)

41.32% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.28% (

-0.22)

63.72% (

0.22)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24% (

-0.02)

12.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.98% (

-0.04)

39.02% (

0.04)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

-0.3)

37.33% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.89% (

-0.3)

74.11% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 62.15%

Newcastle United Under-21s 17.26%

Draw 20.58%

Port Vale	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.15%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.58%	1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.26%