Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 23, 2023 at 4pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium

Brighton U21s
1 - 1
Newcastle U21s

O'Mahony (90+7')
Jackson (59'), Nilsson (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Miley (34')
De Bolle (16'), Miley (24'), Smith (82'), Parkinson (86')
De Bolle (56')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-0 Brighton U21s (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Newcastle U21s
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
45.06% (0.381 0.38)21.97% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)32.97% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 68.18% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.3% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)31.7% (0.125 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.79% (-0.153 -0.15)53.21% (0.148 0.15)
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.080000000000013 0.08)14.83% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (0.162 0.16)43.13% (-0.166 -0.17)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)19.94% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (-0.411 -0.41)52.1% (0.407 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s 45.06%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 32.97%
    Draw 21.97%
Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.64% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.031 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 45.06%
1-1 @ 9.1% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 7% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.97%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 32.97%