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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Cheltenham Town

Port Vale
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Devine (32')
Debrah (66'), Thomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Long (42', 66')
Ferry (31'), Clarke (32'), Davies (34'), Williams (45+4'), Goodwin (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
51.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.85%23.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)51.58% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.37% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.88% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)51.99%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)36.97% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.76% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.85%
    Cheltenham Town 23.3%
    Draw 24.85%
Port ValeDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.87%
2-0 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.14%
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 51.85%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Cheltenham

Port Vale
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
0-0
Port Vale
> Preview
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Port Vale
2-1
Cheltenham
Legge (52'), Worrall (68')
Williams (48')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
0-0
Port Vale
Raglan (69')
Legge (29')
rhs 2.0


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