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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Cheltenham Town

Blackpool
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Lavery (18'), Rhodes (32'), Dembele (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goodwin (44', 86')
Long (36'), Freestone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham's confidence will be significantly boosted by their last two results, but they are yet to prove they can compete under the road having blanked in all six league outings this season. Blackpool are not exactly full of goals themselves under Critchley, but with Rhodes doing his best to change that, we expect them to narrowly get the job done on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
59.48% (1.107 1.11) 22.29% (-0.32 -0.32) 18.23% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.183 0.18)47.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.168 0.17)69.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.434 0.43)15.51% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.802 0.8)44.41% (-0.806 -0.81)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.784 -0.78)39.73% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.731 -0.73)76.4% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 59.47%
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Draw 22.29%
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Cheltenham

Blackpool
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Blackpool
Dayton (18'), Wright (45')
Dickie (9'), Downes (34'), Storer (43'), Cranston (53'), Pell (75')
Vassell (45', 47')
Slocombe (16'), Payne (45'), Aldred (95')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Blackpool
Finnigan (51' pen.)
Melligan (68'), Finnigan (90')
Williams (39'), Southern (85')
Jackson (62')
Dec 5, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Cheltenham
Hoolahan (80'), Morrell (29')
Jackson (85')
Spencer (14')
O'Leary (60'), Spencer (90')
rhs 2.0
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(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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