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Championship header 2

League One

Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Cheltenham Town

Blackpool
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Lavery (18'), Rhodes (32'), Dembele (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goodwin (44', 86')
Long (36'), Freestone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
59.48% (1.107 1.11)22.29% (-0.32 -0.32)18.23% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.183 0.18)47.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.168 0.17)69.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.434 0.43)15.51% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.802 0.8)44.41% (-0.806 -0.81)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.784 -0.78)39.73% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.731 -0.73)76.4% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 59.47%
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Draw 22.29%
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Cheltenham

Blackpool
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Blackpool
3-0
Cheltenham
Cullen (28'), Robertson (34'), Danns (62')
Daniel (59')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Blackpool
Dayton (18'), Wright (45')
Dickie (9'), Downes (34'), Storer (43'), Cranston (53'), Pell (75')
Vassell (45', 47')
Slocombe (16'), Payne (45'), Aldred (95')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Blackpool
Finnigan (51' pen.)
Melligan (68'), Finnigan (90')
Williams (39'), Southern (85')
Jackson (62')
Dec 5, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Cheltenham
Hoolahan (80'), Morrell (29')
Jackson (85')
Spencer (14')
O'Leary (60'), Spencer (90')