/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fmanlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
-
Aden Flint
70'
-
Alfie Devine
50'
-
Nathan Smith
66'
-
Joshua Thomas
87'
Mansfield Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F21%2Fkian-harratt.JPG)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result
Mansfield Town
58.73%
▼
(-0.21)
Draw
22.2%
▲
(+0.09)
Port Vale
19.07%
▲
(+0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
52.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.38%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 2.5
45.62%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 3.5
32.06%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
67.94%
▲
(+0.17)
Over 4.5
16.12%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
83.88%
▲
(+0.13)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5
84.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
15.2%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
56.17%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 1.5
43.83%
▲
(+0.24)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5
62.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
37.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
25.39%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
74.61%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Mansfield Town
58.72%
Draw
22.19%
Port Vale
19.07%
Mansfield Town
1-0
@
10.83%
▲
(+0.05)
2-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 58.72%
2-0 @ 10.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 58.72%
Draw
1-1
@
10.52%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.19%
0-0 @ 5.75% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.19%
Port Vale
0-1
@
5.59%
▲
(+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.07%
1-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.07%
