League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 12.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Dan Crowley 3' goal
  • David McGoldrick 66' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Reed 24'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 47'
  • goal Baily Cargill 70'
  • goal Aden Flint 74'
  • goal Lucas Akins 81'

Notts County vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 1 Notts County
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Davis Keillor-Dunn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result

Notts County 34.49% (+0.36)
Draw 23.29% (-0.03)
Mansfield Town 42.22% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.67% (+0.20)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.19% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 37.8% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 39.94% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 60.05% (-0.23)
Over 4.5 22.09% (+0.19)
Under 4.5 77.9% (-0.18)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 77.99% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 22.01% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 44.68% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 55.32% (-0.43)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 81.64% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 18.36% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 50.52% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 49.48% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Notts County 34.49%
Draw 23.28%
Mansfield Town 42.22%
Notts County
2-1 @ 7.85% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.63% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.96% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 3.36% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.34% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 34.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.65% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.04% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.28%
Mansfield Town
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 4.97% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.76% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.59%
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 42.22%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2019 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Craig Mackail-Smith 19' goal
  • Jon Stead 32' yellowcard
  • Enzio Boldewijn 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Turner 6'
  • yellowcard Jacob Mellis 59'
  • yellowcard Krystian Pearce 85'
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 8, 2018 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT One Call Stadium (Mansfield, Nottinghamshire)
  • CJ Hamilton 37' goal
  • Timi Elsnik 62' yellowcard
  • CJ Hamilton 63' goal
  • Jacob Mellis 73' yellowcard
  • Will Atkinson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Turley 32'
  • yellowcard Elliott Hewitt 76'
  • yellowcard Kristian Dennis 89'
League Two
Mar 17, 2018 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Terry Hawkridge 35' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 98' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Atkinson 53'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 73'
  • yellowcard Alex MacDonald 88'
  • goal Kane Hemmings 99'
Oct 24, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alan Smith 34' goal
  • Alan Smith 74' yellowcard
  • goal Lee Angol 1'
  • yellowcard Jacob Mellis 34'
  • goal Christopher Hamilton 73'
League Two
Sep 30, 2017 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Danny Rose 47' goal
  • Danny Rose 59' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 60' yellowcard
  • Richard Duffy 63' goal
  • goal Carl Dickinson 90'
League Two
Jan 14, 2017 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Michael O'Connor 83' yellowcard