Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.