EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
3 - 2
Doncaster

Gale (11' pen., 13'), Johnson (88')
MacDonald (19'), Brunt (45+8'), Cargill (49')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Close (38'), Ironside (64')
Sotona (26'), Flint (52'), Westbrooke (66'), Molyneux (71')

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Mansfield Town and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
56.68% ( 1.1)	22.08% ( -0.03)	21.24% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 56.66% (

-1.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.91% (

-1.24)

42.09% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-1.25)

64.49% (

1.25)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.33% (

-0.07)

14.67% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.18% (

-0.13)

42.82% (

0.13)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-1.68)

33.6% (

1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-1.88)

70.24% (

1.88)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 56.68%

Doncaster Rovers 21.24%

Draw 22.07%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Doncaster Rovers
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 56.68%	1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.07%	1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.24%