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Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Barrow
3 - 2
Doncaster

Warren (11'), Garner (53'), Acauah (85')
Warren (22'), Garner (35'), Gotts (57'), Spence (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ironside (56'), Faal (90+3')
Close (11'), Westbrooke (26'), Biggins (32')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Barrow and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawDoncaster Rovers
40.64% (0.085999999999999 0.09)26.61% (0.0020000000000024 0)32.74% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.25% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)74.8% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (0.045000000000002 0.05)60.72% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)30.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.68% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 40.64%
    Doncaster Rovers 32.74%
    Draw 26.61%
BarrowDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.64%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.74%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Doncaster
1-0
Barrow
Maxwell (18')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barrow
2-0
Doncaster
Whitfield (37'), Warren (78')