Doncaster Rovers
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 19, 2023 at 7pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
2 - 0
Everton U21s

Marsh (57'), Biggins (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kouyate (6'), Campbell (26')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Doncaster Rovers and Everton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Ham U21s 3-1 Everton U21s
Friday, September 1 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawEverton Under-21s
47.74% (0.999 1)22.68% (-0.198 -0.2)29.59% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 63.58% (0.21700000000001 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.04% (0.5 0.5)36.96% (-0.491 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.86% (0.539 0.54)59.15% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (0.55799999999999 0.56)15.88% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (1.011 1.01)45.1% (-1.001 -1)
Everton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.58% (-0.238 -0.24)24.43% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.15% (-0.342 -0.34)58.86% (0.352 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 47.74%
    Everton Under-21s 29.59%
    Draw 22.68%
Doncaster RoversDrawEverton Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.058 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.127 0.13)
3-2 @ 4% (0.071 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.85% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.066 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 10.06% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.68%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 29.59%