League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Keepmoat Stadium

Doncaster
2 - 0
Crawley

Faal (27'), Ironside (62' pen.)
Bailey (32'), McCann (33'), Olowu (65'), Westbrooke (71')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Johnson (45+1'), Tsaroulla (45+4'), Wright (62')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 3-2 Doncaster
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.

Result
Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
39.94% ( -1.43)	26.52% ( 0.12)	33.54% ( 1.31)

Both teams to score 52.12% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.31% (

-0.2)

52.69% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67% (

-0.17)

74.33% (

0.16)

Doncaster Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1% (

-0.85)

25.89% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12% (

-1.15)

60.88% (

1.15)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

0.76)

29.66% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

0.92)

65.71% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Doncaster Rovers 39.93%

Crawley Town 33.54%

Draw 26.52%

Doncaster Rovers	Draw	Crawley Town
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.34% Total : 39.93%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.54%