League Two

League Two | Gameweek 10

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 0
Sutton

Campbell (6'), Maguire (53'), Orsi (66')
Kelly (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Brien (65'), Eastmond (77'), Goodliffe (90+2')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Sutton United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Sutton United
48.65% ( -0.06)	23.48% ( 0.02)	27.87% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.4% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.09% (

-0.06)

41.9% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.69% (

-0.06)

64.31% (

0.06)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59% (

-0.05)

17.41% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.16% (

-0.09)

47.84% (

0.08)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92%

28.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

63.74% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 48.65%

Sutton United 27.87%

Draw 23.48%

Crawley Town	Draw	Sutton United
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 48.65%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.87%