League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

The People's Pension Stadium

Crawley
3 - 2
Tranmere

Darcy (61'), Tsaroulla (68'), Lolas (90+6')
Gladwin (33'), Darcy (56'), Wright (76'), Lolas (90+7'), Khaleel (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jolley (21'), Taylor (66')
Walker (45+2'), Jolley (60'), Pike (74'), Yarney (89'), Hendry (90+4')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Tranmere Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 4-1 Newport
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 2-0 Tranmere
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
41.79% ( 0.09)	25.44% ( -0.01)	32.77% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

0.03)

48.32% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

0.03)

70.46% (

-0.02)

Crawley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.01% (

0.06)

22.99% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.22% (

0.08)

56.78% (

-0.07)

Tranmere Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-0.03)

28.01% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-0.04)

63.65% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Crawley Town 41.79%

Tranmere Rovers 32.77%

Draw 25.43%

Crawley Town	Draw	Tranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.79%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.77%