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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 28.84% ( | 26.3% ( | 44.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.6% ( | 53.4% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.68% ( | 33.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.06% ( | 69.93% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( | 23.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.17% ( | 57.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.94% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.93% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0-4 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.86% |