League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 4
Mansfield

Sutton (80')
Ramsay (66')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Brunt (8'), Akins (36', 38'), Maris (73')
MacDonald (69'), Johnson (83'), Brunt (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 1-4 Mansfield
Saturday, October 14 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.72%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
21.31% ( -0.97)	21.97% ( -0.54)	56.72% ( 1.52)

Both teams to score 57.14% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.49% (

1.24)

41.51% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.09% (

1.25)

63.91% (

-1.25)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

-0.2)

33.2% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

-0.22)

69.81% (

0.22)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

0.92)

14.46% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.57% (

1.75)

42.42% (

-1.75)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 21.31%

Mansfield Town 56.72%

Draw 21.97%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.31%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.97%	1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.12) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.02% Total : 56.72%