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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Stockport County

Harrogate
1 - 3
Stockport

Thomson (73' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sarcevic (14'), Burrell (50' og.), Collar (69')
Croasdale (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 54.87%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawStockport County
23.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22% (0.021000000000001 0.02)54.87% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.65% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.63% (-0.052 -0.05)39.38% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.29% (-0.055 -0.05)61.72% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.0039999999999907 0)30.38% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.58% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)14.33% (0.036 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (-0.07 -0.07)42.16% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.14%
    Stockport County 54.87%
    Draw 21.99%
Harrogate TownDrawStockport County
2-1 @ 6% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.19% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.32%
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.14%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 6.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 54.87%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Stockport

Harrogate Town
26.7%
Draw
26.7%
Stockport County
46.7%
15
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Harrogate
1-3
Stockport
Hinchliffe (63' og.)
Hippolyte (19'), Olaofe (35'), Collar (73')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Harrogate
0-1
Stockport
Jennings (53' pen.)
Croasdale (39'), Brown (70'), Hippolyte (90+2')
Apr 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
2-1
Stockport
Beck (53'), Bradley (93')
Bell (69')
rhs 2.0


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