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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Stockport County

Accrington
1 - 3
Stockport

Nolan (87')
Pritchard (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Olaofe (12'), Collar (16'), Barry (59' pen.)
Bailey (43')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Stockport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawStockport County
27.49% (-0.398 -0.4)24.28% (-0.143 -0.14)48.22% (0.53899999999999 0.54)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (0.355 0.36)45.79% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (0.335 0.34)68.11% (-0.339 -0.34)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.64% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)30.36% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.45% (-0.132 -0.13)66.55% (0.128 0.13)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.35899999999999 0.36)19.08% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.592 0.59)50.68% (-0.596 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 27.49%
    Stockport County 48.22%
    Draw 24.27%
Accrington StanleyDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 6.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.49%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.95% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.82% (0.055 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 48.22%

Head to Head
Mar 8, 2011 3pm
Accrington
3-0
Stockport
Hessey (28'), Edwards (35' pen., 42' pen.)

Brown (42'), McLoughlin (80')
Sep 28, 2010 3pm
Stockport
2-2
Accrington
Donnelly (84'), Fisher (78')
Williams (61'), Proctor (64')
Procter (40'), Gornell (76')
Barnett (45'), Gornell (65')
Feb 23, 2008 3pm
Jan 12, 2008 3pm
Stockport
2-0
Accrington
Rose (3'), Elding (45')

King (45'), Craney (52')
Feb 17, 2007 3pm
Accrington
0-1
Stockport
Griffin (45')
Clare (61'), Elding (87')