Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.