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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
| 40.14% ( | 25.4% ( | 34.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( | 47.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( | 69.95% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.43% ( | 23.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.37% ( | 57.63% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( | 26.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( | 61.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sutton United | Draw | Salford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 4-2 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.14% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-3 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.46% |