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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 38.91% ( | 26.14% ( | 34.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.09% ( | 50.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% ( | 72.78% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.37% ( | 25.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( | 60.53% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( | 63.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 3-1 @ 3.84% ( 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.91% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 1-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.95% |