EFL Trophy
Nov 14, 2023 7.00pm
5
2
HT : 3 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Joe Sheridan 5' goal
  • Jake Forster-Caskey 13' goal
  • Harvey White 22' goal
  • Harrison Neal 24' yellowcard
  • Aaron Presley 54' goal
  • Luther Wildin 57' yellowcard
  • Aaron Presley 83' goal
  • Elliott List 89' yellowcard
  • goal Malcolm Ebiowei 17'
  • goal Ademola Ola-Adebomi 20'
  • yellowcard Darren Powell 25'
  • yellowcard Noah Watson 85'

Stevenage vs Crystal Palace Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Oct 10, 2023 7.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 1 Wycombe

Crystal Palace Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 7.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Palace U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result

Stevenage 70.18% (+0.38)
Draw 16.82% (-0.09)
Crystal Palace Under-21s 13% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.62% (-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.6% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 32.4% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 45.97% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 54.02% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 27.13% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 72.86% (+0.32)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 91.74% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 8.26% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 71.14%
Under 1.5 28.85% (-0.01)

Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 62.81% (-0.64)
Under 0.5 37.19% (+0.64)
Over 1.5 26.02% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 73.97% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Stevenage 70.18%
Draw 16.82%
Crystal Palace Under-21s 13%
Stevenage
2-0 @ 9.55% (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.94% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.66% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 4.95% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 4.9% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.47% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.44% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.03% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 70.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.07% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.82%
Crystal Palace Under-21s
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 1.5% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 13%