Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Crystal Palace Under-21s
70.18% ( 0.38)	16.82% ( -0.09)	13% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 57.62% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.6% (

-0.32)

32.4% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.97% (

-0.37)

54.02% (

0.36)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

-0.01)

8.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.14%

28.85% (

-0.01)

Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.81% (

-0.64)

37.19% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.02% (

-0.64)

73.97% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 70.18%

Crystal Palace Under-21s 13%

Draw 16.82%

Stevenage	Draw	Crystal Palace Under-21s
2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.85% 1-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.41% Total : 70.18%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.82%	1-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 13%