Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 70.18%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.