League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Ryan Broom 6' goal
  • Brendan Wiredu 32' goal
  • Phoenix Patterson 42' goal
  • Promise Omochere 66' yellowcard
  • Ryan Broom 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yanic Wildschut 65'
  • yellowcard Cheick Diabate 75'

Fleetwood Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Nov 1, 2023 7.45pm
Fleetwood 3 - 3 Blackpool
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result

Fleetwood Town 46.29% (-0.39)
Draw 24.67% (+0.13)
Exeter City 29.04% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.18% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.47% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 46.53% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 31.2% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 68.8% (+0.37)
Over 4.5 15.5% (-0.26)
Under 4.5 84.49% (+0.26)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.82% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 20.18% (+0.32)
Over 1.5 47.52% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 52.48% (+0.52)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 70.39% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.61% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 65.65% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fleetwood Town 46.29%
Draw 24.66%
Exeter City 29.04%
Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.56% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 7.27% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.08% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.43% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Highbury Stadium
  • Jack Marriott 18' goal
  • Jack Marriott 35' goal
  • goal Kevin McDonald 28'
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jay Stansfield 30' goal
  • Sam Nombe 90'+3' goal
  • goal Carlos Mendes Gomes 28'
League Two
Mar 22, 2014 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Parkin 25' goal
  • Eliot Richards 62' goal
  • Eliot Richards 65' goal
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 45'
League Two
Sep 28, 2013 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Junior Brown 35' yellowcard
  • Matty Blair 71' goal
  • yellowcard Liam Sercombe 25'
  • goal Scot Bennett 76'
  • goal Scot Bennett 79'
  • yellowcard Arron Davies 90'
League Two
Mar 9, 2013 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jamille Matt 89' yellowcard
League Two
Nov 10, 2012 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Jamie Cureton 24' goal
  • John O'Flynn 57' goal
  • John O'Flynn 59' yellowcard
  • goal Steve McNulty 13'
  • goal Barry Nicholson 41'
  • yellowcard Barry Nicholson 45'
  • yellowcard Scott Davies 56'
  • yellowcard Youl Mawene 56'
  • yellowcard Barry Ferguson 61'
  • yellowcard David Ball 90'