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Championship header 2

League One

Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Exeter City

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Exeter

Broom (6'), Wiredu (32'), Patterson (42')
Omochere (66'), Broom (73')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Wildschut (65'), Diabate (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 4-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
46.29% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)24.67% (0.121 0.12)29.04% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.389 -0.39)46.53% (0.387 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.2% (-0.366 -0.37)68.8% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.82% (-0.319 -0.32)20.18% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.52% (-0.514 -0.51)52.48% (0.511 0.51)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.39% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)29.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)65.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 46.29%
    Exeter City 29.04%
    Draw 24.66%
Fleetwood TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.65% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.29%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.115 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.068 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 29.04%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Fleetwood
2-2
Exeter
Marriott (18', 35')
McDonald (28'), Sweeney (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Exeter
2-1
Fleetwood
Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
Mendes Gomes (28')
> Preview
Mar 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-0
Fleetwood
Parkin (25' og.), Richards (62', 65')

Sarcevic (45')
Sep 28, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
1-2
Exeter
Blair (71')
Brown (35')
Bennett (76', 79')
Sercombe (25'), Davies (90')
Mar 9, 2013 3pm
Fleetwood
0-0
Exeter
Matt (89')