FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 2
Wigan

Sweeney (42'), Sweeney (42'), Kite (45+3'), Kite (45+3'), Trevitt (85'), Aimson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aasgaard (58', 58'), Sessegnon (87')
Aasgaard (59'), Aasgaard (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 2-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 2-3 Charlton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
34.93% ( 0.09)	25.48% ( -0.05)	39.59% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.98% (

0.26)

48.02% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

0.24)

70.19% (

-0.24)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.46% (

0.18)

26.54% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.26% (

0.24)

61.74% (

-0.24)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

0.09)

23.96% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.8% (

0.14)

58.2% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 34.93%

Wigan Athletic 39.59%

Draw 25.48%

Exeter City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.93%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.61% 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.59%