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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Oxford United

Wigan
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Humphrys (17'), Lang (80')
Adeeko (20'), Shaw (60'), Lang (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodriguez (79'), Beadle (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.66%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
33.22% (0.029000000000003 0.03)24.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.19% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.81% (0.030999999999999 0.03)42.19% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.4% (0.029000000000003 0.03)64.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.22% (0.028999999999996 0.03)24.78% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.65% (0.040000000000006 0.04)59.35% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.98% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 33.22%
    Oxford United 42.66%
    Draw 24.12%
Wigan AthleticDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 42.66%

How you voted: Wigan vs Oxford Utd

Wigan Athletic
20.0%
Draw
6.7%
Oxford United
73.3%
15
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Wigan
1-1
Oxford Utd
Lang (36')
Shinnie (49'), Lang (65')
Taylor (23')
Moore (34'), Kane (45+2'), Brannagan (65'), McNally (69')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Oxford Utd
2-3
Wigan
Williams (33'), Taylor (59')
Taylor (36'), McGuane (90+1')
Keane (8'), Power (32'), McClean (86')
Darikwa (30'), Power (36'), Naylor (44'), Whatmough (72'), McClean (90')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Oxford Utd
2-1
Wigan
Winnall (72'), Moore (83')
Lang (57')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Wigan
1-2
Oxford Utd
Aasgaard (89')
James (83'), Merrie (90+8')
Taylor (61'), Henry (87')
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
rhs 2.0


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