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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 48.71% ( | 23.62% ( | 27.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.3% ( | 42.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.9% ( | 65.1% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( | 17.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% ( | 48.33% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.37% ( | 28.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 3-0 @ 4.39% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 1-3 @ 2.86% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 27.67% |