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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Barnsley
2 - 2
Fleetwood

Cole (7'), O'Keeffe (88')
Williams (32'), Kane (38')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Quitirna (3', 34')
Broom (45'), Marriott (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
48.71% (0.028999999999996 0.03)23.62% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)27.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)42.7% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)65.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)17.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (0.018999999999998 0.02)48.33% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)28.63% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)64.43% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 48.71%
    Fleetwood Town 27.67%
    Draw 23.62%
BarnsleyDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.96% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.86% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 27.67%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Fleetwood

Barnsley
94.7%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
5.3%
19
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Barnsley
2-1
Fleetwood
Norwood (64'), Cundy (86')
Muskwe (77' pen.)
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Barnsley
4-2
Fleetwood
Bahre (21'), Woodrow (34'), McGeehan (70'), Brown (79')
McGeehan (35'), Pinillos (42')
Evans (64'), Burns (77')
Wallace (58'), Coyle (58')
Souttar (65')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Fleetwood
1-3
Barnsley
Biggins (19')
Dempsey (76')
Brown (33'), Moore (41'), Thiam (93')
Brown (35'), Moncur (61'), Pinillos (65'), Moore (90')
Mar 19, 2016 3pm
Fleetwood
0-2
Barnsley

Davis (31')
Davis (47' og.), Scowen (84')
Winnall (31'), Fletcher (40'), Scowen (87')