Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.