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Championship header 2

League One

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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Reading
1 - 2
Fleetwood

Ballard (56')
Carson (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lawal (2'), Vela (90+2')
Vela (88'), Stockley (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Reading and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-0 Reading
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
43.95% (1.319 1.32)24.94% (-0.378 -0.38)31.11% (-0.941 -0.94)
Both teams to score 56.47% (0.86900000000001 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.31% (1.313 1.31)46.69% (-1.311 -1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (1.22 1.22)68.95% (-1.217 -1.22)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (1.173 1.17)21.28% (-1.171 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (1.782 1.78)54.2% (-1.78 -1.78)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)28.28% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.045999999999999 0.05)63.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Reading 43.95%
    Fleetwood Town 31.11%
    Draw 24.94%
ReadingDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.2% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.237 0.24)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.153 0.15)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.6% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.11%

How you voted: Reading vs Fleetwood

Reading
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
10.0%
10